Where Is The Compute?

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Announced future capacity

Forecasts ≠ installed
AI data-center capacity in 2026 vs announced totalsOpenAI: 2026: 5–6 GW (forecast); Anthropic: 2026: 5–6 GW (forecast); Meta: 2026: 1 GW (forecast)0 GW8 GW16 GW24 GW32 GW40 GWGW · 2026 · solid = disclosed · light = forecast · hatched = announced (undated)OpenAI~30 GW total commitments (≈$1.4T), undated2026: third-party forecast (5–6 GW by end-2026), cited by Epoch2026: 5–6 GW (forecast)Anthropic≥14.8 GW signed Oct 2025–Sep 2026 (+1–2 GW earlier), delivery over several years2026: third-party forecast (5–6 GW by end-2026), cited by Epoch2026: 5–6 GW (forecast)Metanamed sites onlyPrometheus ~1 GW + Hyperion up to 5 GW 'over several years'2026: Meta target: Prometheus ~1 GW by end-2026 (named site only, not Meta's whole fleet)2026: 1 GW (forecast)
Drag the year. Solid = disclosed capacity; light bars = forecasts or estimates (with ranges); hatched = announced totals with no delivery date. Announced ≠ installed: deals usually land 2–4 years out and some are cancelable. Meta covers two named sites only.

Note: The doc says “30 GW by 2030 through Stargate.” Altman’s ~30 GW covers all partners (Stargate itself is 10 GW), and we found no 2030 date — so it is shown as undated. D4

Show data table
AI data-center capacity by year (GW) and announced undated totals
Company20232024202520262027202820292030Announced, undated
OpenAI0.2 (actual)0.6 (actual)1.9 (actual)5–6 (forecast)≥10 (forecast)———~30 GW total commitments (≈$1.4T), undated
Anthropic——1.4 (estimate)5–6 (forecast)————≥14.8 GW signed Oct 2025–Sep 2026 (+1–2 GW earlier), delivery over several years
Meta (Prometheus + Hyperion only)———1 (forecast)———3 (forecast)Prometheus ~1 GW + Hyperion up to 5 GW 'over several years'

Sources: Epoch AI, “Introducing the AI Chip Users Explorer” (2026-09-09); Epoch AI (Gradient Updates, opinion), “Frontier labs don't use most AI compute (yet)” (2026-05-20); Axios, “OpenAI wants to get to $1 trillion a year in infrastructure spend, Altman says” (2025-10-28); DatacenterDynamics, “Anthropic signed $517bn in compute agreements in past 11 months” (2026-09-07); Reuters (via Investing.com), “Anthropic's $518 billion AI buildout hinges largely on deals that cannot be canceled, filing shows” (2026-09-29); Meta Careers blog, “Why networking infrastructure is critical for AI innovation” (2025); TechCrunch, “Mark Zuckerberg says Meta is building a 5GW AI data center” (2025-07-14)

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